With its ability to unlock profit for operators, landfill methane has emerged as a line item on business profit-and-loss statements and as part of boardroom conversations, with detailed methane data being treated as a key performance indicator. One analysis found that a 2.0 MW gas-to-energy project generates about $1.86 in net present value for every $1.00 invested, turning what was once treated as “lost gas” into electricity or fuel—the sale of which can nearly double an operator’s investment into gas capture technology.
Executives and boards have realized that each cubic foot of captured methane is effectively a fuel credit, shifting the conversation from "Are we permitted to emit?" to "How efficiently are we capturing methane?" Innovative technologies like satellites and aircraft now provide operators with detailed insights into where and how much methane is escaping. In the U.S., landfills contribute 14–17% of national methane emissions, and recent studies show that modeled emissions often differ from real measurements, largely due to outdated modeling methods and infrequent ground surveys.
The sections below break down the forces driving this shift, from regulations to revenue-generating opportunities, and explore how emissions data is enabling smarter, faster decisions across the waste sector.
Why Methane Emissions Monitoring Has Taken Center Stage
Historically, methane emissions monitoring has been seen as just a regulatory obligation, calculated using modeled emission estimates and infrequent ground-based surveys. The result? Reported figures that rarely changed year-to-year. But in the past three years, the landscape has shifted.
First, more accurate technologies have come online, revealing that traditional methods are not yielding a full or accurate emissions profile. Persistent, high-volume leaks can go undetected for months if operators rely solely on quarterly walkover surveys or estimates. Operators have relied on theoretical models that assume gas collection systems and covers “work as designed,” often missing leaks in practice. In short, without precise measurement, operators are often in the dark about where and how much methane is leaking.
Second, methane itself is under heightened global scrutiny. With about 155 countries now signed onto the Global Methane Pledge, increasing pressure for rapid emissions reduction, landfills have moved squarely into the spotlight. In North America, both the U.S. EPA and Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) has released rules to curb methane from municipal solid waste landfills. At the regional level, states like California and Colorado rolled out tighter emissions thresholds and even more rigorous monitoring requirements.
This means methane management is now a source of regulatory risk and competitive differentiation. Forward-thinking landfill operators are moving early and using data to get ahead of public accountability.
A Modern, Multi-Tiered Approach: Satellite and Aircraft Monitoring
Leading landfill operators are closing the data gap with a multi-tiered monitoring approach that combines satellite and aircraft-based monitoring. This layered strategy ensures both wide coverage and detailed accuracy, helping operators better understand and manage their emissions footprint at an operationally useful frequency. GHGSat, for instance, offers both types of monitoring, delivering daily to monthly monitoring at the facility level.
Under this strategy, satellites provide broad, frequent coverage at high resolution. This regular cadence means operators can monitor emissions trends, such as changes over time, and identify hotspots quickly without needing to dispatch costly ground crews. The high-resolution measurements uncover cracked covers, leaky flares, and poorly tuned wells that quarterly ground surveys often miss. Indeed, landfill operators only perform surface checks every 3 to 6 months.
Aircraft complement this frequent coverage with near-surface surveys that pinpoint smaller leaks, especially useful during operational changes like new cell openings or gas system upgrades.
By integrating data from both sources, landfill owners gain:
- A full lifecycle view of emissions across active, closed, and transitional cells
- Verification of gas collection system performance
- Targeted identification of leaks requiring repair
- Evidence to support grant applications or carbon offset crediting
Financial Drivers: Unlocking Value Through Emissions Intelligence
Beyond more effective compliance and monitoring, accurate methane data directly translates into financial value. Methane, when captured, is fuel, whether burned for on-site power or upgraded to renewable natural gas (RNG), every captured emission is a monetizable opportunity.
According to the U.S. EPA Landfill Methane Outreach Program, there are more than 500 landfill gas energy (LFGTE) projects in operation across the country. However, only about a third of eligible landfills have gas utilization systems. California regulators estimate that improved monitoring and cover practices could cut landfill methane by ~10% by 2030. Maryland’s landfill gas control rules similarly forecast 25–50% of emissions reductions once fully in place.
Importantly, methane capture can pay back its investment. Market incentives like California’s Low-Carbon Fuel Standard, federal tax credits, and emerging clean fuel tax credits support some landfill RNG producers generating returns exceeding $20 per MMBtu. But these incentives hinge on knowing exactly how much gas is available and proving it.
Direct measurement via monitoring enables an operator to quantify what’s being lost and estimate the economic value of recovery. Methane monitoring is the data layer that enables developers and investors to size systems accurately and validate performance.
Operational Efficiencies: Smarter Maintenance, Optimized Planning
Beyond revenue opportunities, emissions data delivers operational intelligence. Operators can use leak maps to prioritize field inspections, adjust wellfield tuning, or redesign cover strategies. Emission trends identify inefficiencies in blower operation, flare sizing, or vacuum balancing.
For example, if data shows methane escaping from a capped cell, it may indicate a poor seal or an underperforming gas well. Emissions rising after waste placement may suggest the need for faster well installation or earlier interim cover. These insights enable actions to reduce odor complaints and increase gas capture.
Moreover, emissions trends can guide capital planning. A site preparing for closure can use historical data to forecast post-closure gas production. This supports investment decisions on whether to install permanent controls or pursue gas recovery.
Regulatory Foresight: Get Ahead, Stay Ahead
The regulatory momentum behind methane monitoring continues to evolve. By adopting emissions intelligence tools early, operators can reduce their regulatory risk and boost their credibility. When enforcement does come, whether via state inspections or EPA audits, having robust data already in hand can make the difference between a violation and a clean record. Moreover, data transparency can smooth permitting for expansions or gas projects.
In jurisdictions like California, data-backed methane reductions may also help operators access state funding or participate in incentive programs. Some waste sector stakeholders are already leveraging emissions tracking to demonstrate ESG performance to shareholders and municipal customers.
Community Trust and Reputation Management
Communities living near landfills are increasingly aware of their odor, air quality, and environmental impact. In some cases, legal action has followed large, uncontrolled methane releases.
Transparent emissions monitoring builds trust. Being able to show that a site is proactively managing emissions, responding to leaks, and reducing impact year over year positions landfill operators as responsible stewards. This matters not just to neighbors but also to investors, boards, and buyers who are evaluating climate risk across their portfolios.
Global Trends and Policy Context
Although this article focuses on North America, these trends are spreading worldwide. Rapid urbanization in Asia, Africa, and Latin America means many countries will see landfill emissions rise unless mitigated. Global initiatives reflect this urgency. For example, the United Nations Environment Programme’s Global Methane Pledge (2021) has committed to cutting anthropogenic methane by 30% by 2030. Many countries are updating waste regulations; for example, Canada’s draft rules would halve landfill methane by 2030. The EU’s Landfill Directive already requires gas collection on most landfills, and newer member states are tightening controls.
In this global context, high-resolution and frequent data is key. The historical data from the GHGSat repository provides a compilation of a worldwide baseline of landfill emissions. The figures in those global studies will inform international policy and help waste operators in any country benchmark their performance.
What Landfill Operators Can Do Now
With emissions data becoming a boardroom priority, here are the steps landfill operators can take today to get ahead:
- Invest in comprehensive monitoring & benchmark current emissions: Use a mix of technologies (satellites, aircraft, and ground sensors) to get frequent, high-resolution methane maps. This fills the gaps left by quarterly surveys, and persistent leaks can be validated and measured quickly. Use this data to establish a baseline for each site.
- Identify & fix leaks: Leverage emissions data to locate hot spots—then repair covers, realign piping, or adjust well vacuum settings. Studies show these tweaks can raise gas capture rates by double-digit percentages, yielding immediate energy and revenue gains.
- Capture and monetize methane. Capture and optimize gas collection infrastructure so that more of the measured methane is piped to flares or energy systems. GHGSat's analysis of five U.S. landfills found that capturing methane to produce natural gas could generate more than $1 million in revenue per site annually. Use economic analysis to prioritize projects with the best return (e.g., flares vs. power generation vs. RNG injection).
- Embed methane metrics in strategy. Track key methane indicators (e.g., emissions rate per ton of waste) in your executive dashboards. Benchmark against industry best practices and set internal targets. Include methane outcomes in ESG reports and investor updates to highlight operational excellence.
- Engage regulators and stakeholders: Proactively share monitoring results with permitting agencies and local stakeholders. Transparent data demonstrates that you’re “ahead of the curve,” reducing regulatory scrutiny. It also supports grant or rebate applications (e.g., for methane capture technology) by providing verifiable performance metrics.
- Build monitoring into standard operations: Make emissions intelligence a core part of your risk and asset management strategy.
Looking Ahead
The trend is clear—methane emissions from waste are not just a compliance issue but a strategic one, with potential revenue on the line. With global attention on methane at a peak, executives who capitalize on high-fidelity emissions data will gain an edge. By treating methane intelligence as a boardroom priority, landfill operators can unlock value, reduce exposure, and lead the industry toward a cleaner, more profitable future.
GHGSat is already working with landfill operators across the globe to help plan an effective emissions monitoring strategy—connect with our team to see what's possible.
Article top image credit: Permission granted by GHGSat via Global Emissions Monitoring